Jul 26, 2026 3.00pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT The Smisa Stadium

Samuel Ramos 76'
Fraser Taylor 84'

Luke Robinson 6'
Kian Corbally 29'
Chris Kane 75'
Chris Kane 88'
Josh Cooper 90'+3'

St Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

W
W
W
W
W
D

Scottish League Cup

W
W
W

Last game

Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm

St Mirren 4 - 3 East Kilbride

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions

W
W
L
W
W
L

Scottish League Cup

W
W
L

Last game

Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm

Dunfermline 5 - 0 Cove Rangers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 42.11% ▲ (+4.82)

Draw 24.04% ▲ (+0.28)

Dunfermline Athletic 33.85% ▼ (-5.11)

Both Teams to Score:

57.72% ▲ (+0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 1.5 21.43% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 2.5 56.95% ▼ (-0.34)

Under 2.5 43.05% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 3.5 34.31% ▲ (+0.54)

Under 3.5 65.69% ▼ (-0.54)

Over 4.5 20.07% ▲ (+0.15)

Under 4.5 79.93% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

St Mirren 32.27% ▲ (+2.76)

Draw 41.44% ▼ (-0.09)

Dunfermline Athletic 26.29% ▼ (-2.68)

Team To Score First

St Mirren 53.65% ▲ (+4.50)

No Goal 5.69% ▼ (-0.02)

Dunfermline Athletic 40.66% ▼ (-4.49)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% ▼ (-3.21)

Equal 8 10.67% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 8 26.59% ▲ (+3.15)

Over 9 51.45% ▼ (-2.95)

Equal 9 11.3% ▼ (-0.25)

Under 9 37.25% ▲ (+3.22)

Over 10.5 40.45% ▼ (-2.45)

Under 10.5 59.55% ▲ (+2.45)

St Mirren Goals

Over 1.5 44.04% ▲ (+4.02)

Under 1.5 55.96% ▼ (-4.02)

Over 2.5 20.88% ▲ (+3.06)

Under 2.5 79.12% ▼ (-3.05)

Over 3.5 7.42% ▲ (+1.58)

Under 3.5 92.58% ▼ (-1.58)

Dunfermline Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 69.22% ▼ (-3.40)

Under 0.5 30.78% ▲ (+3.40)

Over 1.5 37.37% ▼ (-4.32)

Under 1.5 62.63% ▲ (+4.32)

Over 2.5 15.65% ▼ (-3.05)

Under 2.5 84.35% ▲ (+3.04)

Over 3.5 5.48% ▼ (-1.49)

Under 3.5 94.52% ▲ (+1.49)

Score analysis

St Mirren 42.11%

Draw 24.04%

Dunfermline Athletic 33.86%

St Mirren

2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.39)

1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.67)

2-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.72)

3-1 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.75)

3-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.48)

3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.28)

Other @ 7.12% ▲ (+1.54)

Total : 42.11%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.61% ▲ (+0.23)

0-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.02)

2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.05)

3-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 0.3% ▲ (+0.03)

Total : 24.04%

Dunfermline Athletic

1-2 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.75)

0-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.44)

0-2 @ 4.78% ▼ (-0.85)

1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.39)

2-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.18)

0-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.98)

Other @ 5.18% ▼ (-1.53)

Total : 33.86%

Head to Head

Jul 13, 2021 7.45pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The SMISA Stadium

Curtis Main 30'

Paul Allan 75'
Nikolay Todorov 90'+3'

Jul 14, 2019 3.00pm

2

3

HT : 0 3

FT

Cody Cooke 63'
Daniel Mullen 65'

Ryan Dow 18'
Andy Ryan 24'
Tom Beadling 40'

Mar 10, 2018 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)

Harry Davis 69'
Liam Smith 72'

Jason Talbot 17'
Jason Talbot 68'
Lee Robinson 69'
Callum Morris 80'

Jan 26, 2018 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT East End Park (Dunfermline)

Dean Shiels 30'
Nicky Clark 49'
Nicky Clark 62'
James Craigen 68'
Callum Morris 81'

Cameron Smith 13'
Jack Baird 64'

Dec 16, 2017 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT The Paisley 2021 Stadium (Paisley)

Cameron Smith 38'

Sean Murdoch 9'
Callum Morris 22'
Declan McManus 57'
Ryan Williamson 65'
Joe Cardle 75'

Sep 16, 2017 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Dean Shiels 9'
Declan McManus 20'
Lee Ashcroft 40'
David Hopkirk 45'
Callum Morris 56'
Ryan Williamson 58'
Jason Talbot 78'

Gregor Buchanan 49'
Stephen McGinn 74'
Adam Eckersley 87'
Gregor Buchanan 88'

Form Data

St Mirren 4 - 3 East Kilbride

Cove Rangers 0 - 4 St Mirren

Dumbarton 0 - 4 St Mirren

Arbroath 2 - 4 St Mirren

St Mirren 1 - 0 Partick

Partick 1 - 1 St Mirren

Dunfermline 5 - 0 Cove Rangers

Dunfermline 4 - 1 Dumbarton

East Kilbride 3 - 0 Dunfermline

Kelty Hearts 0 - 3 Dunfermline

Clyde 1 - 2 Dunfermline

Celtic 3 - 1 Dunfermline