Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for NK Bravo had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a NK Bravo win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.