Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Koper win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Koper win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Koper would win this match.