Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Zilina win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.