Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Zilina had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Zilina win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.