Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.12%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.