Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.