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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 21
Jan 15, 2022 at 1pm UK
Sivas Stadium
Trabzonspor

Sivasspor
1 - 1
Trabzonspor

James (20')
Henrique (67'), Yigiter (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omur (24')
Turkmen (46')
Avci (90')

Preview: Sivasspor vs. Trabzonspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Sivasspor and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Super Lig leaders Trabzonspor are currently 10 points clear of second-placed Konyaspor, and they will be looking to add to that lead on Saturday, when they travel to face Sivasspor.

The hosts are on a good run of form in the league, only losing once in their last seven outings, and three points this weekend could take the team to within one point of fourth spot.


Match preview

Sivasspor Riza Calimbay pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Riza Calimbay's side are in their best form of the campaign, and a 1-0 win against Konyaspor last time out ensured that they bounced back from a disappointing defeat at the end of December.

Leke James scored his first goal of the season to seal the three points against second place, and Calimbay will be eager for his side to replicate that performance this Saturday.

In order to do so, Sivasspor need to keep a clean sheet against the table toppers, who are the division's top scorers, having netted 37 times in 20 matches.

The home team have drawn six of their 10 games at the Yeni Sivas 4 Eylul Stadyumu, and to climb the league and go in pursuit of a Europa Conference League spot, Sivasspor will need to start turning some of those draws into maximum points.

However, despite dropping points on their own patch by only collecting one point over three, Sivasspor have only lost one game at home this season, which came on the opening day, suggesting that they can make it difficult for Trabzonspor.

Abdullah Avci's side have got back to their usual form this season after suffering their first defeat one month ago, but since then Trabzonspor have won four out of five in all competitions.

Within that run, the team have kept four clean sheets and goalkeeper Ugurcan Cakir gained his eighth clean sheet of the league campaign last time out, as Andreas Cornelius's 23rd-minute strike was enough to secure a 1-0 win against Yeni Malatyaspor.

Sivasspor are expected to pose a bigger challenge to Trabzonspor than 20th-placed Yeni Malatyaspor did last Friday, but the visitors will still be looking to dominate possession of the ball as they have done so in the majority of their matches this campaign.

With 18 games to go in the Turkish Super Lig, and a 10-point gap between themselves and Konyaspor, Trabzonspor are closing in on their first league title since 1984, so every win from here on in will feel like a massive step towards that feat.

Trabzonspor survived a late scare from Sivasspor in the last meeting between these two sides at the beginning of the season, with Avci's team coming out on top as 2-1 winners thanks to goals from Anastasios Bakasetas and Anthony Nwakaeme.

Sivasspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Sivasspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Trabzonspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Trabzonspor form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Abdullah Avci, now in charge of Trabzonspor, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Max Gradel and Faycal Fajr are unavailable on Saturday as they are away on international duty in the Africa Cup of Nations, and Sivasspor have some injuries to add to their absentee list.

Ziya Erdal continues to be sidelined with a muscle injury, while Jorge Felix and Fredrik Ulvestad are nearing a return to action but Saturday's match may have come too soon for the midfield pair.

Hakan Arslan made his return to the side last time out against Konyaspor, after being forced off just before half time against Caykur Rizespor on December 22, and he is likely to remain in the starting 11 for the hosts this weekend.

New Trabzonspor signing Jean Kouassi will wait to make his debut for the club as he is currently competing in the Africa Cup of Nations, as well as Cape Verde international Djaniny.

Edgar Ie and Gervinho remain sidelined with injuries that will see them miss the remainder of the campaign, while Serkan Asan and Anders Trondsen are pencilled in to make their recoveries at the end of this month.

Ismail Koybasi has come into the back four in place of the injured Trondsen and Koybasi will continue his role at left-back, with Nwakaeme also expected to retain his place after coming in for Djaniny.

Sivasspor possible starting lineup:
Vural; Ciftci, Osmanpasa, Goutas, Oguz; Henrique, Cofie, Arslan, Yesilyurt; Kesgin; James

Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Koybasi, Denswil, Turkmen, Peres; Hamsik, Tokoz; Nwakaeme, Bakasetas, Omur; Cornelius


SM words green background

We say: Sivasspor 1-1 Trabzonspor

Both teams are in good and similar form heading into this weekend's encounter, which should help Sivasspor take a point off the league leaders, gaining confidence from their victory against second-placed Konyaspor.

Trabzonspor are expected to dominate the ball but Sivasspor will be looking to quickly attack when they regain possession, and with one of the best defensive records in the division, the hosts should be able to limit Trabzonspor in front of goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sivasspor win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sivasspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Trabzonspor win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sivasspor vs Trabzonspor

Sivasspor
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Trabzonspor
63.6%
22
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray33293177215690
2Fenerbahce33275187305786
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor331741256431355
4BesiktasBesiktas33156124438651
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul33147124438649
6Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor33146134349-648
7KasimpasaKasimpasa33137135559-446
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor331112103838045
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor331112104346-345
10SivassporSivasspor331112104045-545
11Adana Demirspor33914104944541
12Samsunspor33109143743-639
13AnkaragucuAnkaragucu33813124043-337
14KayserisporKayserispor331010133747-1037
15KonyasporKonyaspor33812133447-1336
16GaziantepGaziantep3397173750-1334
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk3389163742-533
18Hatayspor33712143746-933
19Pendikspor3379173768-3130
RIstanbulspor3347222661-3516


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