Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for St Joseph's had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Joseph's win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.