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Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2021 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Cremonese

SPAL
1 - 0
Cremonese

Segre (81')
Asencio (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Valzania (41'), Fiordaliso (58')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cremonese.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawCremonese
36.42%26.93%36.65%
Both teams to score 51.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9%54.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48%75.52%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44%28.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65%64.35%
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58%28.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82%64.18%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 36.41%
    Cremonese 36.65%
    Draw 26.93%
SPALDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 6.37%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-0 @ 2.66%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 36.41%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 5.04%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 10.21%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 6.42%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.65%