Empoli logo
Serie B | Gameweek 4
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
SPAL logo

Empoli
2 - 1
SPAL

Bajrami (63'), Mancuso (83')
Bandinelli (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esposito (34')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Empoli and SPAL.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawSPAL
45.71%25.57%28.72%
Both teams to score 53.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.46%50.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.54%72.46%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91%22.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55%55.45%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09%31.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64%68.36%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 45.71%
    SPAL 28.72%
    Draw 25.56%
EmpoliDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.71%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.6%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.72%