Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad B win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Cultural Leonesa had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad B win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cultural Leonesa win was 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.