Segunda Division Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio El Toralín
  • Carlos Doncel 21' goal
  • goal Juanto Ortuno 14'
  • goal Adrian Lapena 90'+9'

Ponferradina vs Castellon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ponferradina

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Jul 20, 2020 8.00pm
Zaragoza 2 - 1 Ponferradina
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yuri de Souza

Castellon

All competitions
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Ruben Diez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result

Ponferradina 48.84%
Draw 27.96%
Castellon 23.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.01%

Goals

Over 2.5 37.41%
Under 2.5 62.59%
Over 3.5 17.83%
Under 3.5 82.17%

Ponferradina Goals

Over 0.5 74.11%
Under 0.5 25.89%
Over 1.5 39.12%
Under 1.5 60.87%

Castellon Goals

Over 0.5 56.69%
Under 0.5 43.31%
Over 1.5 20.45%
Under 1.5 79.55%

Score analysis

Ponferradina 48.83%
Draw 27.95%
Castellon 23.2%
Ponferradina
1-0 @ 15.15%
2-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.61%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-1 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 48.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 27.95%
Castellon
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 1.48%
0-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 23.2%