Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.06%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.