Espanyol

2 - 1

Lugo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 63.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.9%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.