Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 46.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.