Segunda Division Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Álex Lizancos 4' yellowcard
  • Grego Sierra 13' yellowcard
  • Sergio Francisco 32' yellowcard
  • Curro Sánchez 63' goal
  • yellowcard Óscar Sanz 29'

Burgos vs Sabadell - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 3.15pm
Burgos 0 - 1 Granada
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Álex Forés

Sabadell

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Oct 10, 2026 3.15pm
Ceuta 1 - 2 Sabadell
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Nicholas Gioacchini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (10.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Burgos 40.11%
Draw 29.51%
Sabadell 30.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.71% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 35.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 38.11%
Under 2.5 61.89%
Over 3.5 18.38% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 8.88% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 91.12% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Burgos 26.54%
Draw 51.08%
Sabadell 22.38%

Team To Score First

Burgos 47.51%
No Goal 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Sabadell 41.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 42.75%
Equal 8 12.38%
Under 8 44.87%
Over 9 31.54%
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 57.25%
Over 10.5 22.22%
Under 10.5 77.78%

Burgos Goals

Over 1.5 33.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 11.92% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+0.02)

Sabadell Goals

Over 0.5 61.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 74.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.15% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Burgos 40.1%
Draw 29.51%
Sabadell 30.38%
Burgos
1-0 @ 12.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66%
3-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 40.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 11.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.51%
Sabadell
0-1 @ 10.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 30.38%