Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2026 3.15pm
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria vs Burgos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 0 - 1 Almeria
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Nico Melamed

Burgos

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 5.30pm
Burgos 1 - 0 Eldense
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Álex Forés

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almeria win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Burgos has a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.27%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.05%) , while for a Burgos win it is 0-1 (5.75%).

Result

Almeria 56.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 25.2%
Burgos 18.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.52%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 25.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.41%
Over 3.5 27.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 83.96% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Almeria 41.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 45.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Burgos 12.76% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Almeria 67.33% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Burgos 25.48% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 31.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 46.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 42.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 35.45% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 10.5 64.55% ▲ (+0.04)

Almeria Goals

Over 1.5 51.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.68%
Under 3.5 90.32%

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5 55.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 44.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 21.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 78.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.81% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Almeria 56.27%
Draw 25.2%
Burgos 18.52%
Almeria
1-0 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.27% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-2 @ 2.87%
Other @ 9.51%
Total : 56.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.2%
Burgos
0-1 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.24%
0-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 18.52%

Head to Head

Segunda Division
May 9, 2026 3.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantío
  • Kévin Appin 74' yellowcard
  • Mario González 74' yellowcard
  • David González 81' yellowcard
  • Mateo Mejía 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Morcillo 62'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Thalys 80'
  • yellowcard Nico Melamed 80'
  • yellowcard Arnau Puigmal 90'
  • yellowcard Daijiro Chirino 90'
Segunda Division
Dec 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 38' yellowcard
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 39' yellowcard
  • Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo 45'+2' goal
  • Leo Baptistao 82' yellowcard
  • Alex Munoz 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Miguel Atienza 27'
  • yellowcard Florian Miguel 33'
  • yellowcard Mateo Mejia 33'
  • goal Ivan Morante 39'
  • goal Curro 58'
Segunda Division Gameweek 32
Mar 21, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de El Plantio
  • Marcelo Exposito Jimenez 9' goal
  • Aitor Cordoba 42' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Exposito Jimenez 60' yellowcard
  • Fernando Nino 67' goal
  • Curro 70' yellowcard
  • Inigo Cordoba 84' goal
  • Anderson Arroyo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ander Cantero 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kaiky Fernandes 16'
  • goal Gonzalo Melero 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 32'
  • yellowcard Arnau Puigmal 56'
  • yellowcard Lazaro 90'+1'
Segunda Division Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterraneo
  • Luis Suarez Charris 29' goal
  • Sergio Arribas 31' yellowcard
  • Sergio Arribas 38' redcard
  • Nico 51' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozo 89' goal
  • yellowcard David Gonzalez Ballesteros 55'
  • yellowcard Aitor Cordoba 56'
Segunda Division Gameweek 38
Apr 30, 2022 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Grego 55' yellowcard
  • Unai Elgezabal 81' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Robertone 17'
  • goal Grego 44' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 53'
  • yellowcard Arnau Puigmal 87'
Segunda Division Gameweek 15
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Carlos Lazo 2' goal
  • Curro 62' yellowcard
  • Cesar de la Hoz 74' yellowcard
  • Umar Sadiq 80' yellowcard
  • Samu 89' yellowcard
  • Arnau Puigmal 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Unai Elgezabal 42'
  • yellowcard Michel Zabaco 48'
  • yellowcard Grego 51'
  • yellowcard Miki Munoz 63'
  • yellowcard Jose Antonio Caro 82'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Garcia 90'+3'