Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 17, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Tannadice Park

Dundee Utd
2 - 1
Aberdeen

Gallagher (56'), Dalby (63' pen.)
Ferry (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Okkels (15')
Gueye (57'), Tobers (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee United and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 1-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 14 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Dundee United	Draw	Aberdeen
38.53% ( 0.32)	25.51% ( 0.04)	35.96% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

-0.2)

48.03% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.8% (

-0.18)

70.2% (

0.17)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

0.08)

24.52% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.12)

58.99% (

-0.12)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

-0.3)

25.95% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-0.4)

60.95% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Dundee United 38.53%

Aberdeen 35.96%

Draw 25.5%

Dundee United	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.5%	0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.37% Total : 35.96%