Scottish League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stair Park
  • Lewis Dobbie 19' goal
  • Lewis Dobbie 37' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Shanley 39'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 64'
  • yellowcard Connor McManus 67'
  • yellowcard Jamie Hislop 71'
  • yellowcard Finn Moffett 75'

Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Stirling 2 - 2 Stranraer
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lewis Dobbie

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 3 - 1 Dumbarton
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Lewis Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Stranraer 55.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 24.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Kelty Hearts 20.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.96%
Under 2.5 48.04%
Over 3.5 30.71%
Under 3.5 69.29%
Over 4.5 18.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.55% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Stranraer 43.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 38.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Kelty Hearts 18.36%

Team To Score First

Stranraer 60.99% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.78%
Kelty Hearts 32.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.84%
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.21%
Over 9 51.24%
Equal 9 11.61%
Under 9 37.16%
Over 10.5 39.96%
Under 10.5 60.04%

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 51.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 48.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 26.08%
Under 2.5 73.92%
Over 3.5 11.17%
Under 3.5 88.83%

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 55.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 44.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.2%
Under 3.5 97.8%

Score analysis

Stranraer 55%
Draw 24.11%
Kelty Hearts 20.9%
Stranraer
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.33%
3-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 10.92%
Total : 55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.11%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.9%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Central Park
  • Tiwi Daramola 5' goal
  • Craig Johnston 65' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Ross 50'
  • yellowcard Cameron Williamson 67'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Grant Gallagher 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kallum Higginbotham 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 26'
  • goal Robbie McNab 62'
  • goal Thomas Reilly 64'
  • goal Kallum Higginbotham 81'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 23
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thomas O'Ware 21' goal
  • Jamie Barjonas 22' goal
  • Dougie Hill 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Austin 89' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Ross 20'
  • goal Tommy Muir 53'
  • goal James Hilton 56'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Tommy Muir 34' yellowcard
  • Sean Burns 62' yellowcard
  • Craig Ross 70' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Burns 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 29'
  • goal Jordon Forster 42'
  • goal Nathan Austin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jordon Forster 49'
  • goal Nathan Austin 54'
  • yellowcard Connor Barron 70'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Austin 8' goal
  • Andy Black 73' yellowcard
  • Robbie McNab 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Yates 49'