Scottish League Two Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Stair Park

Stranraer vs Kelty Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Stirling 2 - 2 Stranraer
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Ronan Hughes

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Kelty Hearts 3 - 1 Dumbarton
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Lewis Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stranraer win with a probability of 55%. A draw has a probability of 24.11% and a win for Kelty Hearts has a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.12%) , while for a Kelty Hearts win it is 0-1 (6.18%).

Result

Stranraer 55% (-0.01)
Draw 24.11%
Kelty Hearts 20.89%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.56% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.66%
Under 1.5 24.34%
Over 2.5 51.96% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.04% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.71% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.29% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 18.44% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 81.56% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Stranraer 43.61% (+0.04)
Draw 38.03% (-0.04)
Kelty Hearts 18.36% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Stranraer 60.98% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.78% (-0.01)
Kelty Hearts 32.24%

Corners

Over 8 62.84% (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.21% (+0.16)
Over 9 51.24% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.01)
Under 9 37.16% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 39.96% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 60.04% (+0.12)

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 51.45% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 48.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.08% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 73.92% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 11.17% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 88.83% (-0.05)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 55.69% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 44.31% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.58% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.42% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.7% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.2% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Stranraer 55%
Draw 24.11%
Kelty Hearts 20.89%
Stranraer
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 10.92% (+0.03)
Total : 55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.92% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 24.11%
Kelty Hearts
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 20.89%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Cup
Jul 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT New Central Park
  • Tiwi Daramola 5' goal
  • Craig Johnston 65' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Ross 50'
  • yellowcard Cameron Williamson 67'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 34
Apr 16, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Grant Gallagher 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kallum Higginbotham 16'
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 26'
  • goal Robbie McNab 62'
  • goal Thomas Reilly 64'
  • goal Kallum Higginbotham 81'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 23
Jan 29, 2022 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Thomas O'Ware 21' goal
  • Jamie Barjonas 22' goal
  • Dougie Hill 58' yellowcard
  • Nathan Austin 89' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Ross 20'
  • goal Tommy Muir 53'
  • goal James Hilton 56'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 17
Dec 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Tommy Muir 34' yellowcard
  • Sean Burns 62' yellowcard
  • Craig Ross 70' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Burns 10' (OG)
  • yellowcard Michael Tidser 29'
  • goal Jordon Forster 42'
  • goal Nathan Austin 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jordon Forster 49'
  • goal Nathan Austin 54'
  • yellowcard Connor Barron 70'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 25, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Austin 8' goal
  • Andy Black 73' yellowcard
  • Robbie McNab 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matt Yates 49'