Scottish League Two Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT New Central Park
  • Jamie Hislop 19' goal
  • Lewis Moore 20' goal
  • Ryan Shanley 40' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ferguson 72' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ferguson 73' goal
  • Finn Moffett 74' yellowcard
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 17'
  • yellowcard Kai Kirkpatrick 52'

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Lewis Moore

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Dumbarton 0 - 3 Edinburgh
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Scott Honeyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.38% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Kelty Hearts 61.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 20.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Dumbarton 18.46% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.18%
Under 1.5 18.82%
Over 2.5 59.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.41% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 50.75% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 31.79%
Dumbarton 17.46% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 63.77% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Dumbarton 31.37% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.17% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.89% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 9 42.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 45.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 31.61% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 68.39% ▼ (-0.05)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 58.64%
Under 1.5 41.36%
Over 2.5 33.12%
Under 2.5 66.88%
Over 3.5 15.96%
Under 3.5 84.04%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 53.87%
Under 0.5 46.13%
Over 1.5 22.87%
Under 1.5 77.13%
Over 2.5 7.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.91% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 61.15%
Draw 20.41%
Dumbarton 18.46%
Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 15.95%
Total : 61.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.41%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 5.07% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.53%
1-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT New Central Park
  • Callum Flatman 22' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 35' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 74' redcard
  • Blaine McClure 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Mumbongo 10'
  • goal Joel Mumbongo 17'
  • goal Kalvin Orsi 25'
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 35'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 38'
  • goal Michael Ruth 51'
  • goal Matthew Shiels 77'
  • goal Craig McGuffie 82'
Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kalvin Orsi 70' goal
  • Mouhamed Niang 84' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Orsi 89' goal
  • Kalvin Orsi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Ware 20'
  • redcard Scott Allan 68'
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 72'
Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Ross Cunningham 52' goal
  • Scott Williamson 65' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 43' goal
  • Michael Miller 66' yellowcard
  • Findlay Gray 68' yellowcard
  • Mark Durnan 89' goal
  • goal Luke McCarvel 10'
  • goal Craig Johnston 59'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 4
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 34' goal
  • Ryan Wallace 74' yellowcard
  • Ryan Wallace 90'+2' redcard
  • Ryan Wallace 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Reece Lyon 11'
  • goal Reece Lyon 11'
  • goal Botti Biabi 16'
  • goal Botti Biabi 16'
  • yellowcard Jamie Walker 29'
  • goal Botti Biabi 76'
  • redcard Jamie Walker 78'
  • yellowcard Botti Biabi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Stefan McCluskey 90'+5'