Scottish League Two
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
LIVE New Central Park
  • Jamie Hislop 19' goal
  • Lewis Moore 20' goal
  • Ryan Shanley 40' yellowcard
  • goal Leighton McIntosh 17'
  • yellowcard Kai Kirkpatrick 52'

Kelty Hearts vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Elgin 4 - 1 Kelty Hearts

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Dumbarton 0 - 3 Edinburgh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw has a probability of 20.38% and a win for Dumbarton has a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a Dumbarton win it is 1-2 (5.07%).

Result

Kelty Hearts 61.15% (-0.01)
Draw 20.38% (+0.01)
Dumbarton 18.46% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.03% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.18%
Under 1.5 18.82%
Over 2.5 59.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 40.42% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.27% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.68% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.41% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Kelty Hearts 50.75% (-0.01)
Draw 31.79%
Dumbarton 17.46% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Kelty Hearts 63.77% (+0.02)
No Goal 4.86% (+0.02)
Dumbarton 31.37% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.17% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.94% (+0.01)
Under 8 33.89% (-0.09)
Over 9 42.34% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.82% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.83% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 31.61% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 68.39% (-0.05)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 1.5 58.64%
Under 1.5 41.36%
Over 2.5 33.12%
Under 2.5 66.88%
Over 3.5 15.96%
Under 3.5 84.04%

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 53.87%
Under 0.5 46.13%
Over 1.5 22.87%
Under 1.5 77.13%
Over 2.5 7.13% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.87% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.09% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.91% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Kelty Hearts 61.15%
Draw 20.41%
Dumbarton 18.46%
Kelty Hearts
2-1 @ 10.22% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.79% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 15.95%
Total : 61.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02%
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.41%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.53%
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.08% (-0.01)
Total : 18.46%

Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025 7.45pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League One Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 3.00pm
0
6
HT : 0 3
FT New Central Park
  • Callum Flatman 22' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 35' yellowcard
  • Ross Cunningham 74' redcard
  • Blaine McClure 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Mumbongo 10'
  • goal Joel Mumbongo 17'
  • goal Kalvin Orsi 25'
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 35'
  • yellowcard Mouhamed Niang 38'
  • goal Michael Ruth 51'
  • goal Matthew Shiels 77'
  • goal Craig McGuffie 82'
Scottish League One Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kalvin Orsi 70' goal
  • Mouhamed Niang 84' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Orsi 89' goal
  • Kalvin Orsi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Ware 20'
  • redcard Scott Allan 68'
  • yellowcard Ross Cunningham 72'
Scottish League One Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT New Central Park
  • Ross Cunningham 52' goal
  • Scott Williamson 65' goal
Scottish League One Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 43' goal
  • Michael Miller 66' yellowcard
  • Findlay Gray 68' yellowcard
  • Mark Durnan 89' goal
  • goal Luke McCarvel 10'
  • goal Craig Johnston 59'
Scottish Challenge Cup
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 4
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Michael Ruth 34' goal
  • Ryan Wallace 74' yellowcard
  • Ryan Wallace 90'+2' redcard
  • Ryan Wallace 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Reece Lyon 11'
  • goal Reece Lyon 11'
  • goal Botti Biabi 16'
  • goal Botti Biabi 16'
  • yellowcard Jamie Walker 29'
  • goal Botti Biabi 76'
  • redcard Jamie Walker 78'
  • yellowcard Botti Biabi 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Stefan McCluskey 90'+5'