Scottish League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 12, 2026 3.00pm
Stair Park

Stranraer vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stranraer

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Forfar 0 - 0 Stranraer
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Lewis Dobbie

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Two
Last game
Sep 5, 2026 3.00pm
Dumbarton 0 - 0 Elgin
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Scott Honeyman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stranraer win with a probability of 65.02%. A draw has a probability of 19.12% and a win for Dumbarton has a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.66%) , while for a Dumbarton win it is 1-2 (4.75%).

Result

Stranraer 65.02% (+4.53)
Draw 19.12% (-1.18)
Dumbarton 15.86% (-3.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.78% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 16% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 64.53% (+1.03)
Under 2.5 35.47% (-1.03)
Over 3.5 41% (+0.65)
Under 3.5 59% (-0.65)
Over 4.5 27.24% (+1.11)
Under 4.5 72.76% (-1.11)

First Half Winner

Stranraer 51.6% (+2.40)
Draw 32.02% (-1.87)
Dumbarton 16.38% (-0.52)

Team To Score First

Stranraer 65.36% (+0.90)
No Goal 4.19% (+0.02)
Dumbarton 30.45% (-0.91)

Corners

Over 8 60.72% (-1.54)
Equal 8 10.22% (-0.02)
Under 8 29.05% (+1.56)
Over 9 50.06% (-1.42)
Equal 9 10.66% (-0.12)
Under 9 39.28% (+1.54)
Over 10.5 39.78% (-1.22)
Under 10.5 60.22% (+1.22)

Stranraer Goals

Over 1.5 64.3% (+3.18)
Under 1.5 35.7% (-3.18)
Over 2.5 38.53% (+3.36)
Under 2.5 61.47% (-3.35)
Over 3.5 19.49% (+2.57)
Under 3.5 80.51% (-2.57)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 52.08% (-3.64)
Under 0.5 47.92% (+3.64)
Over 1.5 22.27% (-3.68)
Under 1.5 77.73% (+3.68)
Over 2.5 6.85% (-2.18)
Under 2.5 93.15% (+2.19)
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.82)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.83)

Score analysis

Stranraer 65.02%
Draw 19.13%
Dumbarton 15.86%
Stranraer
2-1 @ 10.5% (+0.47)
2-0 @ 8.79% (+0.43)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.22% (+0.47)
3-0 @ 7.19% (+0.54)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 19.37% (+2.72)
Total : 65.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.32)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.51)
0-0 @ 4.19% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.15)
Total : 19.13%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.49)
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.58)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.49)
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.43)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.56)
0-3 @ 1.09% (-0.16)
Other @ 1.73% (-0.69)
Total : 15.86%

Head to Head

Scottish League Two
Apr 4, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stair Park
  • Jordan Stuart 71' yellowcard
  • Ronan Hughes 71' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hunter 77' yellowcard
  • Lewis Hunter 78' yellowcard
  • Evan Dunne 84' goal
  • Kirk McKnight 88' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Honeyman 37'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 80'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 80'
  • yellowcard Gordon Walker 81'
  • yellowcard Ally Roy 81'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 2' goal
  • Scott Honeyman 17' goal
  • Kai Kirkpatrick 66' yellowcard
  • James Doyle 66' yellowcard
  • Ally Roy 78' yellowcard
  • Tobi Joseph 88' yellowcard
  • Jack Duncan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Dolan 59'
  • yellowcard Dom Plank 59'
  • yellowcard James Dolan 61'
  • yellowcard Dom Plank 61'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 66'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 67'
  • yellowcard Sallu Turay 68'
  • yellowcard Lewis Hunter 76'
  • yellowcard Kirk McKnight 76'
Scottish League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mark Russell 29' goal
  • Evan Dunne 64' yellowcard
  • Matthew Gillies 78' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Kirkpatrick 90'+1'
Scottish League Two
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Scottish League Two Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stair Park
  • yellowcard Marc Kelly 82'
  • yellowcard Aaron Healy 90'+1'
Scottish League Two Gameweek 18
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Stair Park
  • Ryan Blair 3' goal
  • Craig Ross 22' yellowcard
  • Matty Grant 30' goal
  • Dylan Forrest 34' goal
  • Ben Armour 45'+2' goal
  • Deryn Lang 88' goal
  • yellowcard Cian Newbury 6'
  • yellowcard Sean Crighton 14'