Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
Balmoral Stadium

Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Stirling 4 - 2 Cove Rangers

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Dumbarton 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Dumbarton has a probability of 26.76% and a draw has a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Dumbarton win is 1-2 (6.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.88%).

Result

Cove Rangers 52.98% (-0.46)
Draw 20.26% (+0.06)
Dumbarton 26.76% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.34% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.48% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.67% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 37.33% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 38.55% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 61.45% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 25.36% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 74.64% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cove Rangers 40.4%
Draw 39.49%
Dumbarton 20.11%

Team To Score First

Cove Rangers 61.35%
No Goal 4.51% (-0.01)
Dumbarton 34.14% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 59.08%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 29.35%
Over 9 47.17%
Equal 9 11.92%
Under 9 40.92%
Over 10.5 35.93%
Under 10.5 64.07%

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 54.55% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 45.45% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 29.89% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 70.11% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 14.06% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 85.94% (+0.15)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 60.09% (+0.40)
Under 0.5 39.91% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 31.7% (+0.43)
Under 1.5 68.3% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 13.45% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 86.55% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 4.54% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 95.46% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Cove Rangers 52.97%
Draw 20.26%
Dumbarton 26.75%
Cove Rangers
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 6.24% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13%
Other @ 13.77% (-0.16)
Total : 52.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.01)
Total : 20.26%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.5% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.76% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.25% (+0.10)
Total : 26.75%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Leighton McIntosh 4' goal
  • Deryn Lang 64' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Souter 83'
Scottish League One Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kristian Webster 46' goal
  • Kristian Webster 71' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Lobban 27'
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 33'
  • goal Dylan Lobban 79'
  • yellowcard Liam Parker 83'
Scottish League One Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Mitchel Megginson 45'+1' goal
  • Fraser Fyvie 88' goal
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 7'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruth 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Miller 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 58' yellowcard
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 50' (OG)
  • goal Mitchel Megginson 55'
  • goal Adam Emslie 89'
Scottish League One Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Adam Emslie 64' goal
  • Connor Scully 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Emslie 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kalvin Orsi 81'
  • goal Mark Durnan 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 35
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Ross 45' yellowcard
  • Mark Reynolds 59' yellowcard
  • Morgyn Neill 62' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Megginson 75' goal
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 42'