Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Afonso Lindo 23' yellowcard
  • Jordan White 25' goal
  • Destiny Oladipo 42' goal
  • Jordan White 53' goal
  • Arron Darge 57' goal
  • Liam Parker 73' goal
  • Ryan Harrington 90'+3' goal
  • goal Connor Campbell 24'

Cove Rangers vs Dumbarton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cove Rangers

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Stirling 4 - 2 Cove Rangers

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Dumbarton 1 - 3 Airdrieonians

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 52.03%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (6.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%).

Result

Cove Rangers 52.03% ▼ (-0.95)
Draw 21.41% ▲ (+1.15)
Dumbarton 26.57% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.99% ▲ (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.35% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 17.65% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 62.41% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 37.59% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 3.5 39.09% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 3.5 60.91% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 4.5 25.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.63% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Cove Rangers 42.2% ▲ (+1.81)
Draw 37.1% ▼ (-2.40)
Dumbarton 20.7% ▲ (+0.59)

Team To Score First

Cove Rangers 61.35%
No Goal 4.79% ▲ (+0.29)
Dumbarton 33.86% ▼ (-0.29)

Corners

Over 8 59.64% ▲ (+0.57)
Equal 8 10.62% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 8 29.75% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 9 48.66% ▲ (+1.49)
Equal 9 10.97% ▼ (-0.95)
Under 9 40.36% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 10.5 38.2% ▲ (+2.28)
Under 10.5 61.8% ▼ (-2.27)

Cove Rangers Goals

Over 1.5 54.15% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 45.85% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 29.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 2.5 70.32% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 14.01% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 85.99% ▲ (+0.05)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 0.5 60.99% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 0.5 39.01% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 1.5 31.91% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 68.09% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 13.54% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.46% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.59% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 95.41% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Cove Rangers 52.02%
Draw 21.41%
Dumbarton 26.56%
Cove Rangers
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.38)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.55)
3-1 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.30)
3-2 @ 3.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 13.64% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 52.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.29)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 21.41%
Dumbarton
1-2 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 26.56%

Head to Head

Scottish League Cup Gameweek 5
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The YOUR Radio 103FM Stadium
  • Leighton McIntosh 4' goal
  • Deryn Lang 64' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Souter 83'
Scottish League One Gameweek 33
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Kristian Webster 46' goal
  • Kristian Webster 71' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Lobban 27'
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 33'
  • goal Dylan Lobban 79'
  • yellowcard Liam Parker 83'
Scottish League One Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Mitchel Megginson 45'+1' goal
  • Fraser Fyvie 88' goal
  • goal Carlo Pignatiello 7'
  • yellowcard Michael Ruth 78'
  • yellowcard Michael Miller 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 12
Nov 2, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Mark Durnan 58' yellowcard
  • goal Fraser Fyvie 50' (OG)
  • goal Mitchel Megginson 55'
  • goal Adam Emslie 89'
Scottish League One Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Balmoral Stadium
  • Adam Emslie 64' goal
  • Connor Scully 81' yellowcard
  • Adam Emslie 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kalvin Orsi 81'
  • goal Mark Durnan 90'+1'
Scottish League One Gameweek 35
Apr 23, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Ross 45' yellowcard
  • Mark Reynolds 59' yellowcard
  • Morgyn Neill 62' yellowcard
  • Mitchel Megginson 75' goal
  • yellowcard Gregor Buchanan 42'