Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cowdenbeath win with a probability of 60.28%. A win for Hearts Under-21s had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 17.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cowdenbeath win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.6%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hearts Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.