Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Broxburn Athletic had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Broxburn Athletic win was 2-1 (5.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.