Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 55.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 21.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Forfar Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
Result | ||
East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
55.57% | 23.37% | 21.06% |
Both teams to score 52.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% | 47.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% | 70.1% |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% | 17.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.72% | 47.28% |
Forfar Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.92% | 37.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.13% | 73.87% |
Score Analysis |
East Fife | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 0.91% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2% Total : 55.56% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.12% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |