Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 45.84% | 24.91% | 29.25% |
| Both teams to score 55.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% | 47.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% | 69.69% |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% | 20.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% | 53.4% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% | 66.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.22% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.25% |