Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 55.32% | 24.66% | 20.01% |
| Both teams to score 46.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.73% | 54.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.34% | 75.66% |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% | 19.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% | 51.45% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.2% | 41.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% | 78.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 13.33% 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.5% 3-0 @ 5.92% 3-1 @ 5.17% 4-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.31% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.13% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.11% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.2% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.02% |