Scottish Cup
Oct 24, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The C&G Systems Stadium
  • Leighton McIntosh 73' goal
  • yellowcard H. Ormsby 50'

Dumbarton vs Keith - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dumbarton

All competitions

Keith

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 77.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.34% and a win for Keith had a probability of 9.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%) , while for a Keith win it was 1-2 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result

Dumbarton 77.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 13.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Keith 9.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.74% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 86% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 68.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 31.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 46.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 53.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 35.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 64.62% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Dumbarton 56.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 31.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Keith 11.4% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Dumbarton 74.15% ▲ (+0.13)
No Goal 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Keith 22.61% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.42% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 8 11.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 32.23% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 9 44.99% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 43.58% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 10.5 34.39% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 10.5 65.61% ▲ (+0.19)

Dumbarton Goals

Over 1.5 73.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 26.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 70.25% ▲ (+0.04)

Keith Goals

Over 0.5 38.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 61.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 86.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.87%
Under 3.5 99.13%

Score analysis

Dumbarton 77.39%
Draw 13.35%
Keith 9.26%
Dumbarton
3-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.93% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.98%
1-0 @ 8.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 29.74% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 77.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 13.35%
Keith
1-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 9.26%