Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.