International Friendlies
Mar 28, 2026 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hampden Park
  • Ryan Christie 63' yellowcard
  • George Hirst 63' yellowcard
  • Billy Gilmour  70' yellowcard
  • Kieran Tierney 71' yellowcard
  • Billy Gilmour  71' yellowcard
  • Anthony Ralston 80' yellowcard
  • Findlay Curtis 81' yellowcard
  • Nathan Patterson 81' yellowcard
  • Anthony Ralston 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shogo Taniguchi 46'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 46'
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 46'
  • yellowcard Keito Nakamura 62'
  • yellowcard Ritsu Doan 62'
  • yellowcard Ayase Ueda 63'
  • yellowcard Junya Ito 63'
  • yellowcard Daiki Hashioka 77'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 77'
  • yellowcard Daichi Kamada 78'
  • yellowcard Kento Shiogai 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • goal Junya Ito 84'

Scotland vs Japan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Japan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Scotland win was 2-1 (6.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Scotland 29.75%
Draw 22.67%
Japan 47.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.31% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.81% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 18.19% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 61.15%
Under 2.5 38.85%
Over 3.5 39.05% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 60.95% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 24.68% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 75.32% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Scotland 21.08%
Draw 39.32%
Japan 39.6%

Team To Score First

Scotland 34.7%
No Goal 4.71%
Japan 60.59%

Corners

Over 8 46.48% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 41.85% (+0.04)
Over 9 35.58% (-0.04)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 53.52% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 26.19% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 73.81% (+0.04)

Scotland Goals

Over 1.5 35.87% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.13% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 15.72% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.28% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6%
Under 3.5 94%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 78.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 21.61% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 50.34% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 49.66% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 25.53% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.96%
Under 3.5 89.04%

Score analysis

Scotland 29.75%
Draw 22.67%
Japan 47.57%
Scotland
2-1 @ 6.8% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.69%
Total : 29.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.67%
Japan
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.08% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.65%
Total : 47.57%

Build-up

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