Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%).