Santa Clara
Taca de Portugal | 5th Round
Dec 18, 2025 at 6.45pm UK
 
Sporting Lisbon

2-3

Soares (28'), Silva (86')
Victor (88'), Venancio (89')
FT
(aet)
Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (12'), Suarez Charris (90+16' pen.), Ioannidis (98')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal 5th Round clash between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 18 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Santa Clara vs. Arouca
Sunday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-3 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, December 18 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Guimaraes vs. Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, December 23 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
27.33% (-1.047 -1.05)25.28% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)47.38% (1.092 1.09)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.594 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (-0.426 -0.43)50.15% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.88% (-0.379 -0.38)72.11% (0.37299999999999 0.37)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.23% (-1.023 -1.02)32.76% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (-1.153 -1.15)69.32% (1.146 1.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.82% (0.306 0.31)21.18% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.94% (0.475 0.48)54.05% (-0.481 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 27.33%
    Sporting Lisbon 47.38%
    Draw 25.27%
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.74% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 27.33%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 10.77% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.36% (0.294 0.29)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.191 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.089 0.09)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 47.38%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2025 6pm
gameweek 29
Santa Clara
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Pereira (10'), Lima (25'), Borges da Silva (40'), Rocha (83')
Catamo (50')
Quaresma (56'), Hjulmand (82')
Dec 18, 2024 8.45pm
Round of 16
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Hjulmand (40'), Harder (74'), Gyokeres (113')
Esgaio (65'), Debast (73'), Hjulmand (80'), Araujo (83'), Harder (90+7'), St Juste (119'), St Juste (119')
Esgaio (65'), St Juste (120+1')
Ferreira (90+8')
Pereira (79'), Klismahn (80'), Ramos (90'), Soares (90+6'), Serginho (90+7'), Serginho (112'), Silva (112'), Silva (119')
Nov 30, 2024 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
0-1
Santa Clara

Gyokeres (76'), Braganca (90+9')
Lopes (33')
Adriano (22'), Safira (44'), Lopes (45+1'), Calila (45+4'), Nunes Oliveira (64'), Batista (83'), Soares (90+2'), Ferreira (90+4')
Miguel Lopes Matos (90')
Apr 1, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 26
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Santa Clara
Paulinho (14'), Trincao (22'), Edwards (52')
rhs 2.0


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