Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Ainslie Park Stadium
  • Matthew Mudie 56' yellowcard
  • goal Sean Welsh 4' (OG)
  • goal Dominic Thomas 47'
  • yellowcard Aaron Comrie 60'
  • goal Kyle MacDonald 63'
  • goal Andy Ryan 65'
  • yellowcard Stuart Bannigan 81'

Spartans vs Hamilton Academical - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartans

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
East Fife 2 - 2 Spartans

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%).

Result

Spartans 31.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 24.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Hamilton Academical 44.48% ▲ (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.08% ▼ (-1.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.8% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 1.5 21.2% ▲ (+0.38)
Over 2.5 57.24% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 2.5 42.76% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 3.5 35.78% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 3.5 64.22% ▲ (+0.69)
Over 4.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 4.5 78.43% ▲ (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Spartans 25.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 40.21% ▲ (+1.06)
Hamilton Academical 34.64% ▼ (-0.97)

Team To Score First

Spartans 42.63% ▲ (+0.64)
No Goal 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
Hamilton Academical 51.49% ▼ (-0.72)

Corners

Over 8 56.98% ▲ (+2.18)
Equal 8 11.4% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 8 31.62% ▼ (-1.99)
Over 9 45.44% ▲ (+2.17)
Equal 9 11.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 43.02% ▼ (-2.18)
Over 10.5 34.71% ▲ (+2.00)
Under 10.5 65.29% ▼ (-1.99)

Spartans Goals

Over 1.5 34.96% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 1.5 65.04% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 2.5 14.84% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 85.16% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 3.5 5.14% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 94.86% ▲ (+0.18)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5 75.92% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.08% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 46.57% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 53.43% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 23.03% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 76.97% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 3.5 9.51% ▼ (-0.59)
Under 3.5 90.49% ▲ (+0.59)

Score analysis

Spartans 31.05%
Draw 24.51%
Hamilton Academical 44.49%
Spartans
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.26)
2-0 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 31.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.89% ▲ (+0.24)
0-0 @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.31)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.42% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.51%
Hamilton Academical
1-2 @ 8.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 5% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.20)
Other @ 9.09% ▼ (-0.56)
Total : 44.49%