Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
K Park Training Academy

East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
East Kilbride 5 - 3 Kilmarnock II

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Bonnyrigg Rose 1 - 0 Annan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for East Kilbride has a probability of 38.26% and a draw has a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.75%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest East Kilbride win is 2-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.43%).

Result

East Kilbride 38.26% (-2.00)
Draw 23.32% (-0.56)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 38.37% (+2.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.48% (+1.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.9% (+1.44)
Under 1.5 16.1% (-1.43)
Over 2.5 64.62% (+2.41)
Under 2.5 35.38% (-2.40)
Over 3.5 43.73% (+2.60)
Under 3.5 56.27% (-2.60)
Over 4.5 28.12% (+2.18)
Under 4.5 71.88% (-2.19)

First Half Winner

East Kilbride 34.37%
Draw 34.87%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 30.76%

Team To Score First

East Kilbride 49.79% (+0.25)
No Goal 4.22% (-0.46)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 45.99% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 57.2%
Equal 8 10.88%
Under 8 31.93%
Over 9 46.16%
Equal 9 11.04%
Under 9 42.8%
Over 10.5 35.81%
Under 10.5 64.19%

East Kilbride Goals

Over 1.5 45.38% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 54.62% (+0.55)
Over 2.5 22.98% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 77.02% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 9.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.75% (-0.02)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 73.15% (+1.97)
Under 0.5 26.85% (-1.97)
Over 1.5 45.99% (+3.32)
Under 1.5 54.01% (-3.32)
Over 2.5 23.04% (+2.81)
Under 2.5 76.96% (-2.81)
Over 3.5 9.83% (+1.60)
Under 3.5 90.17% (-1.60)

Score analysis

East Kilbride 38.26%
Draw 23.31%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 38.36%
East Kilbride
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.36)
1-0 @ 6.06% (-0.71)
2-0 @ 4.64% (-0.56)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.28)
Other @ 8.62% (-0.05)
Total : 38.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.50)
2-2 @ 6.6% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.46)
3-3 @ 2.43% (+0.19)
Other @ 0.63% (+0.07)
Total : 23.31%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.34)
0-2 @ 5.22% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 4.66% (+0.42)
2-3 @ 3.52% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 2.6% (+0.25)
Other @ 9.2% (+1.54)
Total : 38.36%