Scottish Challenge Cup Gameweek 3
Sep 8, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT K Park Training Academy
  • Darragh O'Connor 42' yellowcard
  • Callum McKenzie 56' goal
  • Craig McGuffie 62' goal
  • João Balde 77' goal
  • yellowcard Alassan Jones 30'
  • yellowcard Laurie Devine 34'
  • yellowcard Mackenzie Scott 41'
  • goal Laurie Devine 47'

East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

East Kilbride

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
East Kilbride 5 - 3 Kilmarnock II

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last game
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
Bonnyrigg Rose 1 - 0 Annan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 38.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.97%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 2-1 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

East Kilbride 38.61% ▲ (+0.36)
Draw 21.56% ▼ (-1.77)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 39.83% ▲ (+1.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.33% ▲ (+0.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.54% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 15.46% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 65.61% ▲ (+0.99)
Under 2.5 34.39% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 3.5 44.89% ▲ (+1.17)
Under 3.5 55.11% ▼ (-1.17)
Over 4.5 29.02% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 4.5 70.98% ▼ (-0.90)

First Half Winner

East Kilbride 33.22% ▼ (-1.15)
Draw 34.56% ▼ (-0.31)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 32.22% ▲ (+1.46)

Team To Score First

East Kilbride 48.42% ▼ (-1.37)
No Goal 3.77% ▼ (-0.45)
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 47.81% ▲ (+1.83)

Corners

Over 8 57.41% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.73% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 8 31.86% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 46.5% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 9 10.91% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 9 42.59% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 10.5 36.25% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 10.5 63.75% ▼ (-0.44)

East Kilbride Goals

Over 1.5 45.6% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 54.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 23.38% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 2.5 76.62% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 9.82% ▲ (+0.58)
Under 3.5 90.18% ▼ (-0.57)

Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 73.54% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 26.46% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 46.5% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 53.5% ▼ (-0.51)
Over 2.5 23.54% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 2.5 76.46% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 3.5 10.1% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 3.5 89.9% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

East Kilbride 38.6%
Draw 21.55%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 39.84%
East Kilbride
2-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.30)
1-0 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.51)
2-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.37)
Other @ 9.29% ▲ (+0.67)
Total : 38.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.57)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.34)
0-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.45)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.33)
Other @ 0.53% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 21.55%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1-2 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.30)
0-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.22)
0-2 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.28)
0-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.38)
Total : 39.84%