Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for El Salvador had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest El Salvador win was 0-1 (8.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.