Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 13
Nov 7, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Aldo Drosina

NK Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2026 5.00pm
Slaven Koprivnica 0 - 2 Istra 1961
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Emil Frederiksen

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2026 2.00pm
Rijeka 1 - 1 Varazdin
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Daniel Adu-Adjei

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 22.89% and a draw has a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win is 2-1 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.28%).

Result

NK Istra 1961 22.89% ▲ (+3.16)
Draw 22.47% ▲ (+0.04)
HNK Rijeka 54.6% ▼ (-3.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% ▲ (+2.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.01% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 1.5 19.99% ▼ (-0.62)
Over 2.5 58.02% ▲ (+1.22)
Under 2.5 41.98% ▼ (-1.22)
Over 3.5 34.89% ▲ (+1.57)
Under 3.5 65.11% ▼ (-1.57)
Over 4.5 20.88% ▲ (+0.84)
Under 4.5 79.12% ▼ (-0.84)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 21.8% ▲ (+3.75)
Draw 40.44% ▲ (+0.54)
HNK Rijeka 37.76% ▼ (-4.28)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 35.76% ▲ (+3.63)
No Goal 5.21% ▼ (-0.30)
HNK Rijeka 59.03% ▼ (-3.34)

Corners

Over 8 52.66% ▲ (+0.27)
Equal 8 11.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 35.62% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 9 41.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.47% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 9 47.34% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 10.5 30.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 10.5 69.13% ▼ (-0.11)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 28.19% ▲ (+3.70)
Under 1.5 71.81% ▼ (-3.69)
Over 2.5 9.59% ▲ (+1.90)
Under 2.5 90.41% ▼ (-1.91)
Over 3.5 2.69% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 97.31% ▼ (-0.83)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 82.37% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 0.5 17.63% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 1.5 54.31% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 1.5 45.69% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 2.5 27.23% ▼ (-1.52)
Under 2.5 72.77% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 3.5 11.26% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 3.5 88.74% ▲ (+0.86)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 22.89%
Draw 22.46%
HNK Rijeka 54.61%
NK Istra 1961
2-1 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.59)
1-0 @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.47)
3-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.47)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.39)
3-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.86)
Total : 22.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.28% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.36)
0-0 @ 5.21% ▼ (-0.30)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.46%
HNK Rijeka
1-2 @ 10.83% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.67)
0-2 @ 8.56% ▼ (-1.00)
1-3 @ 6% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 4.99% ▼ (-1.01)
2-3 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.38)
Other @ 11.16% ▼ (-0.83)
Total : 54.61%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 23, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Mohamed Nasraoui 18' goal
  • Jakov Puljic 43' goal
  • Toni Fruk 53' goal
  • yellowcard Hamza Jaganjac 62'
  • goal Hamza Jaganjac 71'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 90'+3'
Croatian 1. HNL
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Silvio Gorican 62' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justas Lasickas 62'
Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 15, 2026 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Alfonso Daniel Barco del Solar 46' yellowcard
  • Tornike Morchiladze 46' yellowcard
  • Daniel Adu-Adjei 61' yellowcard
  • Ante Orec 61' yellowcard
  • Dominik Thaqi 73' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 2'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 9'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 54'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 67'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 68'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 5' goal
  • Salim Fago Lawal 5' goal
  • Advan Kadusic 16' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 58' yellowcard
  • Danijel Djuric 69' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 83' yellowcard
  • goal Luka Menalo 9'
  • yellowcard Daniel Adu-Adjei 16'
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 16'
  • yellowcard Tornike Morchiladze 66'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dantas 75'
  • yellowcard Duje Cop 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 88'
  • yellowcard Teo Barišić 89'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Salim Lawal 28' goal
  • Vinko Rozic 70' goal
  • yellowcard Amer Gojak 22'
  • yellowcard Niko Jankovic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Majstorovic 78'
  • yellowcard Ante Orec 84'