Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2026 5.00pm
Stadion Aldo Drosina

NK Istra 1961 vs Hajduk Split - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 2.00pm
NK Lokomotiva 2 - 0 Istra 1961
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Emil Frederiksen

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 2.00pm
Hajduk Split 1 - 0 Varazdin
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Michele Sego

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 54.56%. A draw has a probability of 23.67% and a win for NK Istra 1961 has a probability of 21.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win is 1-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (10.27%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a NK Istra 1961 win it is 2-1 (6.19%).

Result

NK Istra 1961 21.77% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 23.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Hajduk Split 54.56% ▼ (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.42%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 21.95% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 44.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.67% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 68.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 18.31% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 81.69% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 19.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 40.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Hajduk Split 40.23% ▼ (-0.11)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 33.53% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Hajduk Split 60.25% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 57.07% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 8 31.34% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 45.32% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.75%
Under 9 42.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 34.4% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 10.5 65.6% ▲ (+0.22)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 26.23% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 73.77% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 8.66% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 91.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 2.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.85% ▼ (-0.05)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 0.5 18.2% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 1.5 52.86% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 1.5 47.14% ▲ (+0.29)
Over 2.5 26.17% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 2.5 73.83% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 10.59% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 3.5 89.41% ▲ (+0.13)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 21.77%
Draw 23.68%
Hajduk Split 54.54%
NK Istra 1961
2-1 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.09)
1-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 21.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54%
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.68%
Hajduk Split
1-2 @ 10.76% ▼ (-0.07)
0-1 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.84% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 10.37% ▼ (-0.14)
Total : 54.54%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 2
Aug 9, 2026 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Rokas Pukstas 15' goal
  • Marin Soticek 60' yellowcard
  • Marko Livaja 84' goal
  • Andjelo Sutalo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 42'
  • yellowcard Daouda Doumbia 48'
  • yellowcard Samuli Miettinen 64'
  • yellowcard Javier Cabello 90'+1'
  • goal Dukan Ahmeti 90'+5'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2026 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Stjepan Loncar 58' yellowcard
  • Stjepan Loncar 59' yellowcard
  • Allen Obando 67' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Filip Taraba 76' yellowcard
  • Silvio Gorican 76' yellowcard
  • Charles Adah Agada 84' goal
  • goal Marko Livaja 23'
  • goal Adrion Pajaziti 51'
  • goal Marko Livaja 58'
  • yellowcard Anthony Kalik 76'
  • yellowcard Noa Skoko 76'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamón 81'
  • yellowcard Abdoulie Sanyang 81'
  • yellowcard 81'
  • yellowcard Adam Guram 90'+2'
Croatian 1. HNL
Jan 25, 2026 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Rokas Pukstas 64' yellowcard
  • Adrion Pajaziti 64' yellowcard
  • Roko Brajkovic 72' yellowcard
  • Logi Hrafn Róbertsson 83' goal
  • Bruno Durdov 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Smail Prevljak 10'
  • goal Emil Frederiksen 22'
  • yellowcard Advan Kadusic 46'
  • yellowcard Israel Isaac Ayuma 57'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 75'
  • yellowcard Logi Hrafn Róbertsson 75'
  • yellowcard Filip Taraba 90'
Croatian 1. HNL
Oct 19, 2025 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Dominik Prpic 25' yellowcard
  • 57' yellowcard
  • goal Vinko Rozic 35'