Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 8
Sep 19, 2026 7.00pm
Stadion Aldo Drosina

NK Istra 1961 vs Gorica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 4.00pm
Istra 1961 3 - 2 Rudes
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Emil Frederiksen

Gorica

All competitions
Last game
Sep 14, 2026 5.00pm
Gorica 2 - 2 Varazdin
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Bruno Bogojevic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NK Istra 1961 win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Gorica has a probability of 34.27% and a draw has a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Istra 1961 win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Gorica win is 1-2 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

NK Istra 1961 39.84% (+0.69)
Draw 25.89% (+0.95)
Gorica 34.27% (-1.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.34% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.73% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 24.27% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 52.1% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 47.9% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 29.05% (-1.25)
Under 3.5 70.95% (+1.25)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-1.06)
Under 4.5 84.02% (+1.07)

First Half Winner

NK Istra 1961 30.5% (-0.06)
Draw 43.3% (+0.84)
Gorica 26.2% (-0.79)

Team To Score First

NK Istra 1961 49.71% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.78% (+0.30)
Gorica 43.51% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 54.89% (-2.16)
Equal 8 11.65% (-0.05)
Under 8 33.46% (+2.20)
Over 9 43.28% (-1.91)
Equal 9 11.6% (-0.26)
Under 9 45.11% (+2.16)
Over 10.5 32.66% (-1.53)
Under 10.5 67.34% (+1.53)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 1.5 39.88% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 60.12% (-0.57)
Over 2.5 16.77% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 83.23% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 5.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.75% (+0.02)

Gorica Goals

Over 0.5 69.34% (-0.97)
Under 0.5 30.66% (+0.97)
Over 1.5 35.96% (-1.20)
Under 1.5 64.04% (+1.21)
Over 2.5 13.84% (-0.92)
Under 2.5 86.16% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 4.33% (-0.58)
Under 3.5 95.67% (+0.58)

Score analysis

NK Istra 1961 39.85%
Draw 25.89%
Gorica 34.27%
NK Istra 1961
1-0 @ 9.26% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 6.28% (+0.24)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.2% (+0.34)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.18)
Other @ 5.15% (-0.11)
Total : 39.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.23)
0-0 @ 6.78% (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.1% (+0.10)
Total : 25.89%
Gorica
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 5.2% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.36)
0-3 @ 2.71% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.34)
Other @ 4.23% (-0.66)
Total : 34.27%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 32
Apr 27, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT ŠRC Velika Gorica
  • Jurica Prsir 31' goal
  • Théo Epailly 67' yellowcard
  • Ognjen Bakic 73' yellowcard
  • Sule Wisdom Aondowase 73' yellowcard
  • Elvir Durakovic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dukan Ahmeti 46'
  • yellowcard Niko Šepić 78'
  • yellowcard Charles Adah Agada 78'
  • yellowcard Allen Obando 85'
  • yellowcard R. Hrvatin 90'
Croatian 1. HNL
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Filip Taraba 57' yellowcard
  • Silvio Gorican 63' yellowcard
  • Antonio Mauric 63' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 72' yellowcard
  • Nik Skafar Zuzic 72' yellowcard
  • goal Domagoj Pavicic 41'
  • yellowcard Luka Vrzic 67'
  • yellowcard Ante Erceg 67'
  • goal Jurica Prsir 77'
  • yellowcard Mateo Les 80'
  • yellowcard Stjepan Kucis 86'
Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 23, 2025 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL
Aug 29, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 4 4
FT SRC Velika Gorica
  • Martin Slogar 19' goal
  • Martin Slogar 19' goal
  • Gregor Sikosek 26' yellowcard
  • Filip Cuic 31' goal
  • Filip Cuic 31' goal
  • Tibor Halilovic 46' yellowcard
  • Marko Kolar 81' goal
  • Marko Kolar 81' goal
  • goal Stjepan Loncar 13'
  • goal Stjepan Loncar 13'
  • goal Moris Valincic 17'
  • goal Moris Valincic 17'
  • yellowcard Marcel Heister 53'
  • redcard Marcel Heister 83'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2025 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • 64' goal