Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Gorica win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Lokomotiva would win this match.