Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 4
Spurs

Vardy (18' pen., 52' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kane (41'), Schmeichel (76' og.), Bale (87', 90+6')
Bergwijn (58'), Winks (83')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
45.29%	24.33%	30.38%

Both teams to score 58.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.7%

44.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32%

66.68%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3%

19.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.3%

51.7%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42%

27.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9%

63.1%

Score Analysis

Leicester City 45.3%

Tottenham Hotspur 30.38%

Draw 24.32%

Leicester City	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.24% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.17% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.3%	1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.94% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.38%