Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 63.96%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 18.83% and a draw had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.78%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 2-1 (4.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.