Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-23s win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-23s in this match.
