Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-23s win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.97%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-23s in this match.

Result
Leicester City Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
48.58%	21.51%	29.9%

Both teams to score 68.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.02%

30.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.64%

52.36%

Leicester City Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.62%

13.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.71%

40.29%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.76%

21.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.85%

54.15%

Score Analysis

Leicester City Under-23s 48.58%

Derby County Under-23s 29.9%

Draw 21.51%

Leicester City Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3% 4-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.94% 5-1 @ 1.21% 4-3 @ 1.2% 5-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.58%	1-1 @ 8.86% 2-2 @ 6.9% 0-0 @ 2.84% 3-3 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.51%	1-2 @ 6.86% 0-1 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-2 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.37% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.9%