Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Leicester City Under-23s had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.