Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (8.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.