Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Ukraine U23s
0 - 2
Argentina U23s


Rubchynskyi (53'), Veleten (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Almada (47'), Echeverri (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Ukraine and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Ukraine U23s 2-1 Morocco U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 4pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
All competitions
Last Game: Argentina U23s 3-1 Iraq U23s
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine Under-23s win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Argentina Under-23s had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.19%) and 1-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Argentina Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Argentina Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Ukraine Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
54.64% (0.161 0.16)21.15% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)24.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
Both teams to score 64.14% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.92% (0.114 0.11)34.08% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (0.13 0.13)55.95% (-0.125 -0.13)
Ukraine Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.39% (0.086999999999989 0.09)12.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (0.175 0.18)38.73% (-0.171 -0.17)
Argentina Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.6% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)61.83% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ukraine Under-23s 54.64%
    Argentina Under-23s 24.21%
    Draw 21.15%
Ukraine Under-23sDrawArgentina Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.4% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.25% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.93% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: Ukraine U23s vs Argentina U23s

Ukraine Under-23s
11.6%
Draw
10.1%
Argentina Under-23s
78.3%
69
rhs 2.0


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