Olympic Games Men's Football
-
Marcelo Fabian Fernandez Benitez
5'
-
Marcelo de la Cruz Perez Mosqueira
38'
-
Marcos Gomez
45'+7'
-
Marcelo Fabian Fernandez Benitez
58'
-
Angel Cardozo
71'
-
Gatito Fernandez Torres
90'+10'
-
Gustavo Caballero
90'+12'
-
Ibrahima Cisse
90'+8'
-
Cheickna Doumbia
90'+8'
-
Fode Doucoure
90'+12'
Paraguay Under-23s vs Mali Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali Under-23s win with a probability of 61.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Paraguay Under-23s had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Paraguay Under-23s win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Paraguay Under-23s would win this match.
Result
Paraguay Under-23s
16.99%
▼
(-0.80)
Draw
21.07%
▼
(-0.34)
Mali Under-23s
61.94%
▲
(+1.13)
Both Teams to Score:
52.41%
▼
(-0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.96%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
44.03%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
33.58%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
66.42%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
17.22%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
82.78%
▼
(-0.08)
Paraguay Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5
60.71%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
39.28%
▲
(+0.89)
Over 1.5
24.01%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 1.5
75.99%
▲
(+0.84)
Mali Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5
86.33%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
13.67%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
59.13%
▲
(+0.75)
Under 1.5
40.87%
▼
(-0.75)
Score analysis
Paraguay Under-23s
16.99%
Draw
21.07%
Mali Under-23s
61.93%
Paraguay Under-23s
1-0
@
5.02%
▼
(-0.15)
2-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.99%
2-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.19)
2-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.13)
3-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 16.99%
Draw
1-1
@
9.98%
▼
(-0.15)
0-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.07%
0-0 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.07%
Mali Under-23s
0-1
@
10.68%
▲
(+0.10)
0-2 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-5 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.93%
0-2 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 9.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.26)
1-3 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.09)
0-4 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.09)
1-5 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.93%