Paris 2024

Olympic Games Women's Football | Third-Place Playoff

Aug 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Spain Women
0 - 1
Germany Women

Thomas Coll Lluch (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gwinn (64' pen.)

Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Third-Place Playoff clash between Spain Women and Germany Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain Women

All competitions

Olympic Games Women's Football

Last Game: Brazil Women 4-2 Spain Women
Tuesday, August 6 at 8pm in Olympics Women's Football

Germany Women

All competitions

Olympic Games Women's Football

Last Game: USA Women 1-0 Germany Women
Tuesday, August 6 at 5pm in Olympics Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Women win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Germany Women had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Germany Women win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Spain Women	Draw	Germany Women
60.62%	21.57%	17.81%

Both teams to score 52.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18%

44.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.83%

67.17%

Spain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.67%

14.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.84%

42.16%

Germany Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.22%

38.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.49%

75.51%

Score Analysis

Spain Women 60.62%

Germany Women 17.81%

Draw 21.56%

Spain Women	Draw	Germany Women
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.79% 3-1 @ 6.44% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-0 @ 1.28% 5-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.62%	1-1 @ 10.22% 0-0 @ 5.55% 2-2 @ 4.71% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.56%	0-1 @ 5.26% 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.81%