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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
May 15, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 3
Ballymena

Smyth (87')
McGee (45'), McGinty (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keeley (43'), Millar (55'), Hume (62')
McCartan (38'), McElroy (81')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
11.97%18.44%69.59%
Both teams to score 48.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04%42.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.63%65.37%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22%45.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45%81.55%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81%11.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.3%35.7%
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 11.97%
    Ballymena United 69.58%
    Draw 18.44%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 4%
2-1 @ 3.43%
2-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.97%
1-1 @ 8.77%
0-0 @ 5.12%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.44%
0-2 @ 12.28%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 8.97%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-4 @ 4.91%
1-4 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.74%
0-5 @ 2.15%
1-5 @ 1.68%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 69.58%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 26
Ballymena
5-1
Dungannon
Kelly (5'), McElroy (16', 45+3'), Hume (43'), Kane (74' pen.)
Harpur (83')
Gallagher (62')
McGinty (35'), Mayse (75')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Ballymena
0-1
Dungannon

Kane (44'), McCartan (80')
Campbell (82')
Wilson (44'), Byers (62'), Carvill (74'), Mayse (89')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 10
Dungannon
1-5
Ballymena
Carvill (22' pen.)
Brennan (17')
Winchester (54'), Hume (56'), McElroy (60' pen.), McCartan (72', 85')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dungannon
1-0
Ballymena
Wilson (24')
Wilson (70'), Smyth (90')

Whiteside (25'), Knowles (30'), McCullough (34')
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Ballymena
3-2
Dungannon
Harpur (20'), Knowles (64'), McGrory (70' pen.)
Smyth (26', 63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1LarneLarne320179205986
2LinfieldLinfield312080384283
3CliftonvilleCliftonville301277423571
4CrusadersCrusaders320159392061
5GlentoranGlentoran301270412957
6ColeraineColeraine31204762-1546
Relegation Round
1Carrick RangersCarrick32015070-2044
2Loughgall31025565-1042
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon33005969-1041
4GlenavonGlenavon31024466-2237
5Ballymena UnitedBallymena32012567-4225
6Newry City AFC30032591-6617
 
Regular Season
1LarneLarne33248169175280
2LinfieldLinfield33253576354178
3CliftonvilleCliftonville33224773304370
4GlentoranGlentoran33168968373156
5CrusadersCrusaders331671055361955
6ColeraineColeraine33118144157-1641
7Loughgall33116165059-939
8Carrick RangersCarrick33115174365-2238
9GlenavonGlenavon33104194060-2034
10Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3388175267-1532
11Ballymena UnitedBallymena3354242063-4319
12Newry City AFC3345242283-6117


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