Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.07%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.