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Attendance: 25,486
Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 22, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Newcastle logo

1-0

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Saturday's Premier League contest between Crystal Palace and Newcastle United.

Crystal Palace welcome Newcastle United to Selhurst Park on Saturday afternoon having suffered three successive defeats in the Premier League.

While the Magpies have not fared much better, picking up two points over the same period has kept the club above Palace in the table.


Match preview

Crystal Palace boss Roy Hodgson on February 1, 2020© Reuters

At one stage this season, Palace were riding high in fifth position and had realistic hopes of earning a place in the Europa League for the next campaign.

However, a run of seven matches without success have left Palace on the brink of becoming involved in a relegation battle, as well as Roy Hodgson being replaced in the summer.

Since the turn of the year, the Eagles have earned morale-boosting draws with Arsenal and Manchester City, but there were signs in their last outing against Everton that confidence was in short supply.

On a positive note, Christian Benteke ended his prolonged wait for a Premier League goal, although the Belgian was guilty of squandering an excellent opportunity to get Palace back on level terms for a second time in the contest.

Although Palace face a run of games against teams around them, it is unclear whether being involved in high-stakes fixtures in the coming weeks will benefit them given their struggles at both ends of the pitch.

From Newcastle's perspective, a second trip to London in the space of a week is also not ideal after their thrashing at the hands of Arsenal last Sunday.

Nevertheless, Steve Bruce will view it as an opportunity for his team to right some wrongs as the North-East outfit look to stay out of trouble in the coming months.

Despite having their moments at the Emirates Stadium, their defensive performance in the second half was almost non-existent, much to the frustration of a manager who has prided himself on keeping things tight at the back this season.

Bruce will feel that Palace, who possess an equally poor record in the final third as Newcastle, are ideal opponents, but the visitors may have to rely on some individual brilliance from one of their attackers to get anything from what should be a closely-fought game.

Crystal Palace Premier League form: DDDLLL
Crystal Palace form (all competitions): LDDLLL

Newcastle United Premier League form: LDWDDL
Newcastle United form (all competitions): WDDDWL


Team News

Isaac Hayden celebrates scoring for Newcastle on January 18, 2020© Reuters

Bruce could hand a recall to Isaac Hayden, with the midfielder a potential replacement for Sean Longstaff.

Given the club's injury list, Bruce's hands are tied regarding mass changes, although Fabian Schar is available to replace Ciaran Clark in defence.

Hodgson finds himself in a similar situation, with James Tomkins having now joined a group of Palace players in the treatment room.

Either Scott Dann or Cheikhou Kouyate are options in the centre of defence, with the latter also in contention to feature in midfield.

Depending on whether Hodgson is prepared to use a more attack-minded formation, Max Meyer is another possibility in the centre of the pitch.

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Dann, Cahill, Van Aanholt; McCarthy, Milivojevic, McArthur; Ayew, Benteke, Zaha

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Lazaro, Fernandez, Lascelles, Schar, Rose; Almiron, Hayden, Bentaleb, Saint-Maximin; Joelinton


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Crystal Palace 1-1 Newcastle United

If any fixture in the Premier League was destined to be a low-scoring affair, this is it. However, with both backlines having been far from impressive recently, we are going to predict a 1-1 draw.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a win it was 0-1 (10.01%).


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Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson before the match on January 1, 2020
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